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How many copies did Killer Gin sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 422–685
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 17 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Killer Gin and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Killer Gin's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 639k–2.7M
best case 4.6M (Persona 5 Royal)
Games like Killer Gin

A typical game among these

≈ 639k–2.7M copies

≈ $13.1M–$42.2M after Steam's cut

from ~38k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 5 Royal at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 71 to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (8 of 8) and Anime (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Persona 3 Reload
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
勇者与亡灵之都
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$18k–$48k after Steam's cut $33k–$74k before Steam's cut
$6.99
377 reviews
Very Positive
RPGExploration
Tales of Zestiria
2015
Est. copies
≈ 455k–739k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$16.8M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$25.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
9k reviews
Mostly Positive
JRPGAnime
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky
2014
Est. copies
≈ 583k–947k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Dungeon Dreams
2019
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$95k before Steam's cut
$11.99
241 reviews
Very Positive
RPGAnime
RPG Maker MV
2015
Est. copies
≈ 437k–711k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut $17.5M–$39.8M before Steam's cut
$79.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
RPGRPGMaker

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