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How big is Restrictr?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 432–702
from 15 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Restrictr and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Restrictr's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–2k
best case 33k (TurnSignal)
Games like Restrictr

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–2k copies

≈ $2k after Steam's cut

from ~29 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: TurnSignal at ≈ 25k–41k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 31 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Software Training (8 of 8) and Utilities (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Utilities + VR. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Software; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

TurnSignal
2017
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
727 reviews
Very Positive
UtilitiesVR
StellarX
2020
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24 reviews
Positive
UtilitiesDesign & Illustration
CyberLink PowerDirector 15 Ultimate
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
36 reviews
Mostly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
ENGAGE
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
82 reviews
Very Positive
EducationUtilities
VR Robotics Simulator
2020
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13 reviews
Positive
EducationDesign & Illustration
VR Model Viewer
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$978–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$2.99
48 reviews
Mixed
UtilitiesAnimation & Modeling
DatavizVR Demo
2016
Est. copies
≈ 998–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24 reviews
Positive
Software TrainingUtilities
Calcflow
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29 reviews
Positive
EducationUtilities

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