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How big is TurnSignal?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 25k–41k
from 727 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TurnSignal and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TurnSignal's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 728–2k
best case 3k (ENGAGE)
Games like TurnSignal

A typical game among these

≈ 728–2k copies

≈ $2k after Steam's cut

from ~27 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ENGAGE at ≈ 2k–4k copies.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 31 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Software Training (8 of 8) and Utilities (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Education + Utilities.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

CyberLink PowerDirector 15 Ultimate
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
36 reviews
Mostly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
DatavizVR Demo
2016
Est. copies
≈ 998–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24 reviews
Positive
Software TrainingUtilities
Calcflow
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29 reviews
Positive
EducationUtilities
ENGAGE
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
82 reviews
Very Positive
EducationUtilities
StellarX
2020
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24 reviews
Positive
UtilitiesDesign & Illustration
Restrictr
2019
Est. copies
≈ 432–702
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15 reviews
Positive
UtilitiesVR
VR Model Viewer
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$978–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$2.99
48 reviews
Mixed
UtilitiesAnimation & Modeling
VR Robotics Simulator
2020
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13 reviews
Positive
EducationDesign & Illustration

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