How many copies did Shiki sell?

806 to 1k copies, based on its 28 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Shiki make?

Shiki is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Shiki?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 806–1k; from 28 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shiki and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shiki's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 350k–481k

best case 918k (Night in the Woods)

Games like Shiki

A typical game among these

≈ 350k–481k copies

≈ $2.7M–$6.8M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 2D Platformer (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Night in the Woods at ≈ 699k–1.1M copies, ≈ $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 566 to 7k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 2D Platformer (4 of 8) and 3D Platformer (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Dark Humor, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Chinese Online Game 2024	Est. copies ≈ 258k–419k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $709k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	10k reviews Very Positive	CRPGAction Roguelike
Sonic Forces 2017	Est. copies ≈ 298k–485k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	9k reviews Mixed	Great Soundtrack3D Platformer
候鸟 2023	Est. copies ≈ 99k–160k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $298k–$801k after Steam's cut $542k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$10.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Word Game2D Platformer
月に寄りそう乙女の作法 2022	Est. copies ≈ 113k–184k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelWord Game
魔女的夜宴 2023	Est. copies ≈ 293k–477k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentFPS
Night in the Woods 2017	Est. copies ≈ 699k–1.1M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	20k reviews Very Positive	Story RichAdventure
PARANORMASIGHT: The Seven Mysteries of Honjo 2023	Est. copies ≈ 181k–295k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $997k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAdventure
SONIC X SHADOW GENERATIONS 2024	Est. copies ≈ 389k–633k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action3D Platformer