How much revenue did Sonic Forces make?

$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Sonic Forces sell?

Q: How many copies did Sonic Forces sell?

298k to 485k copies, based on its 9k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 298k–485k; $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut; from 9k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sonic Forces and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sonic Forces's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 29.2M–40.1M

best case 37.7M (ELDEN RING)

Games like Sonic Forces

A typical game among these

≈ 29.2M–40.1M copies

≈ $202.6M–$774.4M after Steam's cut

from ~815k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: ELDEN RING at ≈ 28.7M–46.6M copies, ≈ $473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 163k reviews in their first month; the range was 59 to 347k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Character Customization (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Souls-like + Open World, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
ELDEN RING 2022	Est. copies ≈ 28.7M–46.6M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut $861.1M–$1959.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeOpen World
Tyler: Model 005 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut	$9.99	81 reviews Mixed	AdventureAction
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Sunset Overdrive 2018	Est. copies ≈ 441k–717k too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	15k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Cyberpunk 2077 2020	Est. copies ≈ 24.4M–39.6M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	983k reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkOpen World
Sackboy™: A Big Adventure 2022	Est. copies ≈ 112k–181k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	5k reviews Very Positive	AdventureMultiplayer
Monster Hunter: World 2018	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut $236.2M–$537.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	518k reviews Very Positive	Co-opMultiplayer
Alchemist Adventure 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut	$14.99	129 reviews Mostly Positive	Action-AdventureMedieval