How much revenue did Sunset Overdrive make?

$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Sunset Overdrive sell?

Q: How many copies did Sunset Overdrive sell?

441k to 717k copies, based on its 15k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 441k–717k; $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut; from 15k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sunset Overdrive and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Sunset Overdrive's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.2M–9.9M

best case 9.9M (NARAKA: BLADEPOINT)

Games like Sunset Overdrive

A typical game among these

≈ 7.2M–9.9M copies

≈ $151.8M–$218.1M after Steam's cut

from ~220k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NARAKA: BLADEPOINT at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 33k reviews in their first month; the range was 30k to 72k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (3 of 5) and Co-op (2 of 5).
The winners: Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Martial Arts.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III 2015	Est. copies ≈ 11.4M–18.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $188.7M–$507.3M after Steam's cut $343.1M–$780.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	234k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerZombies
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	189k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	220k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Marvel’s Spider-Man Remastered 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $59.0M–$158.6M after Steam's cut $107.3M–$244.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	144k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldSuperhero