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How many copies did DUBIUM sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–14k
from 336 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DUBIUM and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including DUBIUM's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 244–187k
best case 29.9M (Among Us)
Games like DUBIUM

A typical game among these

≈ 244–187k copies

≈ $270–$14.4M after Steam's cut

from ~143 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 6 similar games are hits.

Best case: Among Us at ≈ 22.8M–37.0M copies, ≈ $31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 1k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Social Deduction (6 of 6) and Survival (5 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with Social Deduction + Space, priced around $5.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Among Us
2018
Est. copies
≈ 22.8M–37.0M
5239x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut $56.8M–$129.3M before Steam's cut
$4.99
749k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerSocial Deduction
Imposters: Countdown
2023
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
27 reviews
Mixed
MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
Unfortunate Spacemen
2020
Est. copies
≈ 187k–305k
53x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Very Positive
Survival HorrorInvestigation
Space Betrayers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$172–$455 after Steam's cut $312–$700 before Steam's cut
$24.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
Early AccessSocial Deduction
DICHOTOMY
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$75–$200 after Steam's cut $137–$308 before Steam's cut
$10.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
MultiplayerLocal Co-Op
Killer: Infected One of Us
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$51k before Steam's cut
$6.99
259 reviews
Mixed
MultiplayerSpace

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