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How many copies did Banana Hell sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 21k–35k
$18k–$47k after Steam's cut $32k–$73k before Steam's cut
from 865 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Banana Hell and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Banana Hell's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 219k–623k
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like Banana Hell

A typical game among these

≈ 219k–623k copies

≈ $1.7M–$6.3M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 910 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and 2D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + 2D Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Indie + 2D Platformer + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DuckTales: Remastered
2013
Est. copies
≈ 503k–817k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerAdventure
Night in the Woods
2017
Est. copies
≈ 699k–1.1M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAdventure
INMOST
2020
Est. copies
≈ 183k–297k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$753k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePixel Graphics
Sonic Origins
2022
Est. copies
≈ 161k–262k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action2D Platformer
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pizza Tower
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
9.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great Soundtrack2D Platformer
A Difficult Game About Climbing
2024
Est. copies
≈ 141k–230k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$388k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $706k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
SONIC X SHADOW GENERATIONS
2024
Est. copies
≈ 389k–633k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action3D Platformer

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