How much revenue did Sonic Origins make?

$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Sonic Origins sell?

Q: How many copies did Sonic Origins sell?

161k to 262k copies, based on its 7k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 161k–262k; $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut; from 7k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sonic Origins and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sonic Origins's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–3.8M

best case 5.9M (Celeste)

Games like Sonic Origins

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–3.8M copies

≈ $15.4M–$24.9M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 749 to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 2D Platformer (7 of 8) and Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Katana ZERO 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsAction
DDNet 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	47k reviews Very Positive	Online Co-OpFree to Play
Trine 2: Complete Story 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.6M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	22k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
BattleBlock Theater® 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	73k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-op Platformer
SANABI 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	45k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
Super Meat Boy 2010	Est. copies ≈ 2.5M–4.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	39k reviews Very Positive	Precision Platformer Platformer
Pizza Tower 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	73k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great Soundtrack2D Platformer
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult