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How many copies did Touhou Blooming Chaos 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 64k–104k
$106k–$285k after Steam's cut $193k–$438k before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Touhou Blooming Chaos 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Touhou Blooming Chaos 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 58k–61k
best case 205k (Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons.)
Games like Touhou Blooming Chaos 2

A typical game among these

≈ 58k–61k copies

≈ $317k–$357k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons. at ≈ 156k–254k copies, ≈ $645k–$1.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (8 of 8) and Faith (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Shoot 'Em Up, priced around $14. The breakout hits carry Difficult + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part II
2019
Est. copies
≈ 76k–124k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$273k–$733k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$12.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellIndie
東方憑依華 ~ Antinomy of Common Flowers.
2018
Est. copies
≈ 59k–96k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$407k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $739k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackFighting
Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons.
2017
Est. copies
≈ 156k–254k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$645k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellGreat Soundtrack
TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival
2018
Est. copies
≈ 46k–75k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$114k–$307k after Steam's cut $207k–$472k before Steam's cut
$8.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellIndie
Touhou Kanjuden ~ Legacy of Lunatic Kingdom.
2019
Est. copies
≈ 47k–76k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$194k–$521k after Steam's cut $352k–$801k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellDifficult
Touhou Fantasia / 东方梦想曲
2019
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayAction
Touhou Fuujinroku ~ Mountain of Faith.
2020
Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$172k–$463k after Steam's cut $313k–$712k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieAction
Touhou Kouryudou ~ Unconnected Marketeers.
2021
Est. copies
≈ 45k–74k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$187k–$503k after Steam's cut $340k–$773k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up

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