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How many copies did Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons. sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 156k–254k
$645k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons. and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons.'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 45k–159k
best case 362k (Returnal™)
Games like Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons.

A typical game among these

≈ 45k–159k copies

≈ $169k–$811k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Returnal™ at ≈ 276k–448k copies, ≈ $4.6M–$12.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 930 reviews in their first month; the range was 192 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (8 of 8) and Female Protagonist (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Rogue-like, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.4x vs typical
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Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy: Prologue
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MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
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FightingAnime
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ActionRhythm
Returnal™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 276k–448k
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
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Very Positive
ActionBullet Hell

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