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How many copies did Fights in Tight Spaces sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 98k–160k
$677k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fights in Tight Spaces and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Fights in Tight Spaces's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 174k–2.4M
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Fights in Tight Spaces

A typical game among these

≈ 174k–2.4M copies

≈ $1.3M–$22.5M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (4 of 4) and Card Battler (3 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Gordian Quest
2022
Est. copies
≈ 150k–244k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$827k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
RPGCard Game
Banners of Ruin
2021
Est. copies
≈ 81k–131k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$443k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $805k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Across the Obelisk
2022
Est. copies
≈ 326k–529k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy

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