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How big is STAR WARS™: The Old Republic™?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
from 76k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid STAR WARS™: The Old Republic™ and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including STAR WARS™: The Old Republic™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 16.2M–30.1M
best case 35.2M (ARK: Survival Evolved)
Games like STAR WARS™: The Old Republic™

A typical game among these

≈ 16.2M–30.1M copies

≈ $115.0M–$174.1M after Steam's cut

from ~663k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.8M–43.5M copies, ≈ $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share MMORPG (2 of 3) and Open World (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 3 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Path of Exile 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut $84.3M–$191.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
227k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGHack and Slash
Destiny 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 19.1M–31.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
663k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World

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