How much revenue did Urge make?

$64k–$173k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Urge sell?

Q: How many copies did Urge sell?

13k to 21k copies, based on its 524 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 13k–21k; $64k–$173k after Steam's cut $117k–$266k before Steam's cut; from 524 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Urge and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Urge's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–4.3M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like Urge

A typical game among these

≈ 3.0M–4.3M copies

≈ $32.0M–$41.5M after Steam's cut

from ~106k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Survival (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Open World, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Horror + Crafting + Survival Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 6.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Dying Light 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24.2M–39.3M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	496k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror
Green Hell 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.4M–$54.8M after Steam's cut $37.0M–$84.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	103k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Don't Starve Together 2016	Est. copies ≈ 22.6M–36.8M 5.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	544k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
The Long Dark 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–6.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$97.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	124k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Subnautica: Below Zero 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.7M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	109k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Subnautica 2018	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.8M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	381k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Generation Zero® 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	42k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldSurvival