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How many copies did The Outlast Trials sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
$30.5M–$81.9M after Steam's cut $55.4M–$126.0M before the cut
from 112k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Outlast Trials out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Outlast Trials's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 29.1M–90.6M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like The Outlast Trials

The middle of these games

≈ 29.1M–90.6M copies

≈ $201.1M–$352.4M after Steam's cut

from ~996k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Co-op (5 of 8) and Survival (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 66.8M–108.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$183.6M–$493.6M after Steam's cut $333.8M–$759.4M before the cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.4M–$307.5M after Steam's cut $207.9M–$473.1M before the cut
$19.99
839k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 75.6M–122.8M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.5M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 38.8M–63.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$213.5M–$574.0M after Steam's cut $388.2M–$883.1M before the cut
$19.99
934k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.1M–$250.3M after Steam's cut $169.3M–$385.1M before the cut
$14.99
543k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.5M–43.0M
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.