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How many copies did Lucky and a life worth living - a jigsaw puzzle tale sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 107 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lucky and a life worth living - a jigsaw puzzle tale and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lucky and a life worth living - a jigsaw puzzle tale's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 27k–61k
best case 2.0M (Valiant Hearts: The Great War™ / Soldats Inconnus : Mémoires de la Grande Guerre™)
Games like Lucky and a life worth living - a jigsaw puzzle tale

A typical game among these

≈ 27k–61k copies

≈ $9k–$361k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Puzzle (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Valiant Hearts: The Great War™ / Soldats Inconnus : Mémoires de la Grande Guerre™ at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 66 reviews in their first month; the range was 52 to 199.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (4 of 8) and Cats (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Historical + World War I, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Atmospheric + Historical + World War I; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Valiant Hearts: The Great War™ / Soldats Inconnus : Mémoires de la Grande Guerre™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
28k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericHistorical
Mimpi Dreams
2016
Est. copies
≈ 56k–91k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie
Dogs Organized Neatly
2021
Est. copies
≈ 37k–61k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$31k–$83k after Steam's cut $56k–$127k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualDog
100 hidden cats 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25k–40k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
$0.99
991 reviews
Very Positive
CatsHidden Object
PHOGS!
2020
Est. copies
≈ 37k–59k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$251k–$675k after Steam's cut $456k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Co-opAdventure
Mushroom Cats 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$0.99
581 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsHidden Object
Samorost 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 187k–303k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$256k–$689k after Steam's cut $466k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickCasual
FIND ALL
2021
Est. copies
≈ 17k–27k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$0.99
678 reviews
Very Positive
Hidden ObjectCasual

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