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How many copies did Valiant Hearts: The Great War™ / Soldats Inconnus : Mémoires de la Grande Guerre™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
$6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut
from 28k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Valiant Hearts: The Great War™ / Soldats Inconnus : Mémoires de la Grande Guerre™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Valiant Hearts: The Great War™ / Soldats Inconnus : Mémoires de la Grande Guerre™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 253k–503k
best case 7.4M (Battlefield™ 1)
Games like Valiant Hearts: The Great War™ / Soldats Inconnus : Mémoires de la Grande Guerre™

A typical game among these

≈ 253k–503k copies

≈ $2.9M–$8.2M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Battlefield™ 1 at ≈ 5.7M–9.2M copies, ≈ $62.3M–$167.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (5 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + World War I, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + First-Person + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Battlefield™ 1
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.2M
29x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$62.3M–$167.4M after Steam's cut $113.2M–$257.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
228k reviews
Very Positive
FPSMultiplayer
Verdun
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$30.4M–$81.6M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterCo-op
Tannenberg
2017
Est. copies
≈ 337k–548k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
GoreWorld War I
Medal of Honor: Airborne
2009
Est. copies
≈ 320k–520k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
ActionWorld War II
Isonzo
2022
Est. copies
≈ 429k–696k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.6M–$21.9M before Steam's cut
$44.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericSimulation
Last Train Home
2023
Est. copies
≈ 138k–224k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyReal Time Tactics
Beyond The Wire
2022
Est. copies
≈ 187k–304k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$514k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $934k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Mixed
FPSWar
Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts
2023
Est. copies
≈ 199k–323k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
8k reviews
Mixed
Naval CombatNaval

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