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How many copies did Tannenberg sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 337k–548k
$1.9M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.7M before Steam's cut
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tannenberg and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Tannenberg's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–51.1M
best case 88.0M (Left 4 Dead 2)
Games like Tannenberg

A typical game among these

≈ 2.4M–51.1M copies

≈ $56.0M–$339.6M after Steam's cut

from ~279k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 67.0M–108.9M copies, ≈ $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (3 of 5) and FPS (3 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
279k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter
Verdun
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$30.4M–$81.6M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterCo-op
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 39.0M–63.3M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
937k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer

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