How much revenue did Verdun make?

$30.4M–$81.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Verdun sell?

Q: How many copies did Verdun sell?

1.8M to 3.0M copies, based on its 38k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.8M–3.0M; $30.4M–$81.6M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.6M before Steam's cut; from 38k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Verdun and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Verdun's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 42.4M–119.2M

best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)

Games like Verdun

A typical game among these

≈ 42.4M–119.2M copies

from ~1.3M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 6 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (5 of 6) and Shooter (4 of 6).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Destiny 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 19.1M–31.0M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	663k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayOpen World
Counter-Strike 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M 7.5x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	9.9M reviews Very Positive	FPSShooter
Apex Legends™ 2020	Est. copies ≈ 26.6M–43.2M SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.1M reviews Mixed	Free to PlayBattle Royale
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege 2015	Est. copies ≈ 76.0M–123.4M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.6M reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.7M–80.7M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	786k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation