How much revenue did Last Train Home make?

$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Last Train Home sell?

Q: How many copies did Last Train Home sell?

138k to 224k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 138k–224k; $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Last Train Home and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Last Train Home's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–3.8M

best case 4.9M (Total War: WARHAMMER III)

Games like Last Train Home

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–3.8M copies

≈ $16.0M–$52.6M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: WARHAMMER III at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $61.3M–$164.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 32k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share RTS (8 of 8) and Tactical (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Grand Strategy, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Total War: SHOGUN 2 unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	68k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Command & Conquer™ Remastered Collection 2020	Est. copies ≈ 870k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	35k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Total War: WARHAMMER III 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $61.3M–$164.8M after Steam's cut $111.4M–$253.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	150k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Total War: SHOGUN 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–7.0M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $35.4M–$95.2M after Steam's cut $64.4M–$146.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	68k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Call to Arms - Gates of Hell: Ostfront 2021	Est. copies ≈ 855k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.2M–$22.1M after Steam's cut $15.0M–$34.0M before Steam's cut	$34.99	34k reviews Very Positive	World War IIHistorical
Company of Heroes 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	40k reviews Mixed	SingleplayerStrategy
Men of War: Assault Squad 2 2014	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $21.6M–$58.0M after Steam's cut $39.3M–$89.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	47k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Wargame: Red Dragon 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.1M–$24.5M after Steam's cut $16.6M–$37.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	20k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS