How much revenue did Total War: SHOGUN 2 make?

Total War: SHOGUN 2 is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Total War: SHOGUN 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Total War: SHOGUN 2 sell?

1.7M to 2.7M copies, based on its 68k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.7M–2.7M; from 68k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Total War: SHOGUN 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Total War: SHOGUN 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–4.1M

best case 3.5M (Total War: THREE KINGDOMS)

Games like Total War: SHOGUN 2

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–4.1M copies

≈ $18.2M–$60.1M after Steam's cut

from ~38k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: THREE KINGDOMS at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Grand Strategy (8 of 8) and Historical (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Historical + War, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Total War: ATTILA 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.3M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Total War: EMPIRE – Definitive Edition 2009	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.3M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition 2013	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	88k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Rome: Total War™ - Collection 2007	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Total War: SHOGUN 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–7.0M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $35.4M–$95.2M after Steam's cut $64.4M–$146.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	68k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.0M–$123.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	94k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Total War: NAPOLEON – Definitive Edition 2010	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut $17.5M–$39.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	28k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
A Total War Saga: THRONES OF BRITANNIA 2018	Est. copies ≈ 453k–737k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	15k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyHistorical