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How many copies did Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 199k–323k
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 570–315k
best case 7.1M (World of Warships)
Games like Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts

A typical game among these

≈ 570–315k copies

≈ $2k–$652k after Steam's cut

from ~592 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: World of Warships at ≈ 5.4M–8.8M copies.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 7k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Naval Combat (6 of 8) and Wargame (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Naval Combat + Co-op.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy under 20k
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Early AccessAction RTS
NavalArt
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4.2x vs typical
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Early AccessSandbox
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50x vs typical
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ShooterFPS
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ActionArcade
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SimulationWargame
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≈ 5.4M–8.8M
265x vs typical
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Free
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Free to PlayNaval Combat
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SimulationStrategy

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