How much revenue did Pair of Aces make?

$272–$732 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Pair of Aces sell?

Q: How many copies did Pair of Aces sell?

99 to 161 copies, based on its 4 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 99–161; $272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut; from 4 reviews (4 user reviews); Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pair of Aces and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pair of Aces's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.1M–9.3M

best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)

Games like Pair of Aces

A typical game among these

≈ 4.1M–9.3M copies

≈ $7.4M–$38.3M after Steam's cut

from ~121k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Music (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Music (3 of 8) and Rhythm (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry 2D + Singleplayer + Precision Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hotline Miami 2012	Est. copies ≈ 8.1M–13.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.3M–$60.0M after Steam's cut $40.6M–$92.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackViolent
Castle Crashers® 2012	Est. copies ≈ 8.9M–14.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $36.7M–$98.7M after Steam's cut $66.8M–$151.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	141k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2DOnline Co-Op
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M 5.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Brotato 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut	$4.99	119k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Rogue-likeSingleplayer
Vampire Survivors 2022	Est. copies ≈ 6.6M–10.7M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	267k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
A Dance of Fire and Ice 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$5.99	84k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Muse Dash 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	122k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	80k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackGore