How much revenue did Hotline Miami make?

$22.3M–$60.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hotline Miami sell?

Q: How many copies did Hotline Miami sell?

8.1M to 13.2M copies, based on its 128k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 8.1M–13.2M; $22.3M–$60.0M after Steam's cut $40.6M–$92.3M before Steam's cut; from 128k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hotline Miami and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hotline Miami's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 210k–509k

best case 5.2M (Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number)

Games like Hotline Miami

A typical game among these

≈ 210k–509k copies

≈ $1.8M–$4.0M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number at ≈ 3.9M–6.4M copies, ≈ $16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Gore (6 of 8) and Violent (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Gore + Violent, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Retro + Great Soundtrack + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Party Hard 2015	Est. copies ≈ 619k–1.0M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsStealth
RUINER 2017	Est. copies ≈ 431k–700k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkAction
RED HOT VENGEANCE 2019	Est. copies ≈ 104k–168k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayViolent
APE OUT 2019	Est. copies ≈ 119k–193k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $490k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $891k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Very Positive	ViolentIndie
POSTAL Redux 2016	Est. copies ≈ 345k–560k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $852k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$8.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Online Co-OpMultiplayer
Twelve Minutes 2021	Est. copies ≈ 201k–327k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	8k reviews Mostly Positive	IndieAdventure
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.4M 9.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	80k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackGore
Door Kickers 2: Task Force North 2025	Est. copies ≈ 339k–550k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	14k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	TacticalTop-Down