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How many copies did ValiDate: Struggling Singles in your Area sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$15k–$39k after Steam's cut $26k–$60k before Steam's cut
from 142 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ValiDate: Struggling Singles in your Area and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ValiDate: Struggling Singles in your Area's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 321k–550k
best case 635k (Until Then)
Games like ValiDate: Struggling Singles in your Area

A typical game among these

≈ 321k–550k copies

≈ $1.3M–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Until Then at ≈ 484k–786k copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 721 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share LGBTQ+ (5 of 8) and Romance (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Emotional, priced around $20.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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A Date with Death
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Florence
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≈ 409k–665k
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IndieCasual
Until Then
2024
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≈ 484k–786k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
19k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelPixel Graphics
BAD END THEATER
2021
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≈ 250k–406k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$687k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
Multiple EndingsVisual Novel
Storyteller
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≈ 229k–372k
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Very Positive
PuzzleInteractive Fiction
missed messages.
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≈ 448k–728k
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Free to PlayVisual Novel
Our Life: Beginnings & Always
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≈ 342k–556k
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Visual NovelRomance

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.