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How many copies did Endless Voyage / 无尽航线 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–28k
$79k–$214k after Steam's cut $145k–$329k before Steam's cut
from 686 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Endless Voyage / 无尽航线 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Endless Voyage / 无尽航线's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–2.3M
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Endless Voyage / 无尽航线

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–2.3M copies

≈ $6.9M–$17.1M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Card Game (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 9k to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (4 of 8) and Deckbuilding (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Battler + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Library Of Ruina
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
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Story RichCard Game
Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
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65k reviews
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PvETrading Card Game
Tabletop Simulator
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TabletopBoard Game
觅长生
2023
Est. copies
≈ 797k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Yu-Gi-Oh! Duel Links
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
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Very Positive
Free to PlayCard Game
Loop Hero
2021
Est. copies
≈ 907k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
TacticalRogue-like

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