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How many copies did One Shell Straight to Hell sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 794–1k
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
from 32 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid One Shell Straight to Hell and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including One Shell Straight to Hell's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 280k–1.0M
best case 4.9M (Enter the Gungeon)
Games like One Shell Straight to Hell

A typical game among these

≈ 280k–1.0M copies

≈ $2.1M–$5.4M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Enter the Gungeon at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies, ≈ $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Top-Down Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Action Roguelike, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

20 Minutes Till Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 724k–1.2M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising
2018
Est. copies
≈ 398k–647k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Top-Down ShooterRogue-lite
Nuclear Throne
2015
Est. copies
≈ 967k–1.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$11.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Voidigo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 122k–199k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$168k–$451k after Steam's cut $305k–$694k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
Brigador: Up-Armored Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 243k–396k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
9.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Relic Hunters Zero: Remix
2015
Est. copies
≈ 330k–536k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Very Positive
Looter ShooterTwin Stick Shooter
10 Minutes Till Dawn
2022
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Shoot 'Em UpAction Roguelike

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