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How many copies did Nienix: Cosmic Warfare sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$48k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$200k before Steam's cut
from 355 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nienix: Cosmic Warfare and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nienix: Cosmic Warfare's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–6k
best case 433k (Relic Hunters Zero: Remix)
Games like Nienix: Cosmic Warfare

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–6k copies

≈ $9k–$24k after Steam's cut

from ~149 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Relic Hunters Zero: Remix at ≈ 330k–536k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 108 reviews in their first month; the range was 35 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Looter Shooter (6 of 8) and Action Roguelike (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Programming + Tactical RPG, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Action RPG + Character Customization; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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4.7x vs typical
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Relic Hunters Zero: Remix
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Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.