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How many copies did Ball-it Hell sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–22k
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut
from 554 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ball-it Hell and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Ball-it Hell's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 540k–2.8M
best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)
Games like Ball-it Hell

A typical game among these

≈ 540k–2.8M copies

≈ $2.9M–$8.0M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 15k to 129k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (4 of 4) and Bullet Hell (4 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $5.
When they shipped
3 of the 4 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Spell Brigade
2026
Est. copies
≈ 419k–682k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeOnline Co-Op
Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
267k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Yet Another Zombie Survivors
2026
Est. copies
≈ 386k–628k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Soulstone Survivors
2025
Est. copies
≈ 668k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell

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