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How many copies did The Spell Brigade sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 419k–682k
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Spell Brigade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Spell Brigade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 407k–842k
best case 11.5M (Risk of Rain 2)
Games like The Spell Brigade

A typical game among these

≈ 407k–842k copies

≈ $4.0M–$7.7M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.8M–14.2M copies, ≈ $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Co-op (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Action Roguelike, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + Looter Shooter + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Relic Hunters Zero: Remix
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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising
2018
Est. copies
≈ 398k–647k
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Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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Top-Down ShooterRogue-lite
Realm of the Mad God Exalt
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
3.6x vs typical
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Free
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Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
Children of Morta
2019
Est. copies
≈ 674k–1.1M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$21.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerRogue-like
Roboquest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 608k–989k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction Roguelike
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Returnal™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 276k–448k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ActionBullet Hell
Heroes of Hammerwatch
2018
Est. copies
≈ 290k–471k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-liteAction Roguelike

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