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How many copies did Lumione sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–19k
$39k–$104k after Steam's cut $70k–$160k before Steam's cut
from 472 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lumione and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lumione's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–3k
best case 14k (Primal Light)
Games like Lumione

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–3k copies

≈ $1k–$6k after Steam's cut

from ~48 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Primal Light at ≈ 11k–17k copies, ≈ $23k–$62k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 17 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 86.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Precision Platformer (7 of 8) and Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry FPS + 3D Platformer + Tutorial; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Exertus
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
$1.99
307 reviews
Very Positive
Super High Ball: Pinball Platformer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$9.99
43 reviews
Positive
How I learned to Skate
2022
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$7.99
29 reviews
Positive
OCO
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$4.99
90 reviews
Very Positive
Precision Platformer2D Platformer
Deep Under the Sky
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut
$9.99
59 reviews
Mixed
ArcadePhysics
Call of Fries
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$376–$1k after Steam's cut $684–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
48 reviews
Mixed
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Primal Light
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$96k before Steam's cut
$7.99
426 reviews
Very Positive
2D PlatformerPixel Graphics
Funny Panda
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$324–$871 after Steam's cut $589–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
48 reviews
Positive
IndieCasual

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