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How many copies did Spaceflux sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
from 90 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Spaceflux and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spaceflux's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–8k
best case 294k (AMID EVIL)
Games like Spaceflux

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–8k copies

≈ $5k–$23k after Steam's cut

from ~126 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: AMID EVIL at ≈ 224k–363k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 60 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 792.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arena Shooter (8 of 8) and FPS (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Arena Shooter, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Fast-Paced + Spectacle fighter + Old School; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

HYPER DEMON
2022
Est. copies
≈ 84k–136k
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$345k–$928k after Steam's cut $628k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
FPSArena Shooter
ONE DAY for Ched
2014
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$61k before Steam's cut
$2.99
320 reviews
Mixed
ActionFPS
AMID EVIL VR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$39k–$106k after Steam's cut $71k–$162k before Steam's cut
$19.99
288 reviews
Very Positive
Arena ShooterBoomer Shooter
Animalistic
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$4.99
65 reviews
Very Positive
FPSArena Shooter
AMID EVIL
2019
Est. copies
≈ 224k–363k
62x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Old SchoolBoomer Shooter
Nix Umbra
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$9.99
97 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorIndie
Primordial Pain
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$4.99
41 reviews
Positive
Arena ShooterFirst-Person
Finnish Cabin Mayhem - Mökkimähinä
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$4.99
154 reviews
Very Positive
ActionCasual

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