How much revenue did Nix Umbra make?

$7k–$18k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nix Umbra sell?

Q: How many copies did Nix Umbra sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 97 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut; from 97 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nix Umbra and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nix Umbra's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–332k

best case 1.3M (Quake Champions)

Games like Nix Umbra

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–332k copies

≈ $3k–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~203 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Quake Champions at ≈ 972k–1.6M copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 38 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 33k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arena Shooter (6 of 8) and FPS (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Arena Shooter + Hero Shooter, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
CROSSBOW: Bloodnight 2020	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut	$2.99	529 reviews Mostly Positive	Arena ShooterBoomer Shooter
Quake Champions 2022	Est. copies ≈ 972k–1.6M 193x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	39k reviews Mostly Positive	Arena ShooterHero Shooter
Amnesia: The Dark Descent 2010	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M 176x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.4M–$33.4M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	36k reviews Very Positive	HorrorGore
CrimSaw 2024	Est. copies ≈ 595–967 SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $817–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$4.99	24 reviews Positive	Arena ShooterBoomer Shooter
Lycanthorn II - Rain of Beasts 2021	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	326 reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Grave Gunner 2024	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut	$9.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	FPSArena Shooter
Vampire Slayer: The Resurrection 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut	$4.99	80 reviews Mixed	Arena ShooterHero Shooter
Boons & Burdens 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut	$4.99	76 reviews Mixed	Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter