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How big is Reflect Horizons?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 942–2k
from 38 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Reflect Horizons and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Reflect Horizons's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 158k–430k
best case 669k (BONELAB)
Games like Reflect Horizons

A typical game among these

≈ 158k–430k copies

≈ $2.1M–$6.6M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: BONELAB at ≈ 509k–828k copies, ≈ $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 7k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Immersive (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Physics, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BONELAB
2022
Est. copies
≈ 509k–828k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
VRPhysics
Meditation VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
98 reviews
Mostly Positive
VRRelaxing
Soundscape XR: 2024
2024
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
27 reviews
Mostly Positive
PsychedelicCasual
I Expect You To Die
2017
Est. copies
≈ 96k–156k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$658k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
VRPuzzle
Free Spirit VR Meditation
2020
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$121–$325 after Steam's cut $220–$500 before Steam's cut
$2.22
8 reviews
8 user reviews
VRImmersive
Into the Radius 2
2026
Est. copies
≈ 145k–236k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessVR
despatch: Entity Astray
2020
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$14.99
18 reviews
Mixed
VRSingleplayer
DepthQVR_AQUA
2020
Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualVR

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