How much revenue did I Expect You To Die make?

$658k–$1.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did I Expect You To Die sell?

Q: How many copies did I Expect You To Die sell?

96k to 156k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 96k–156k; $658k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid I Expect You To Die and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including I Expect You To Die's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 733k–1.2M

best case 1.8M (Liar's Bar)

Games like I Expect You To Die

A typical game among these

≈ 733k–1.2M copies

≈ $5.6M–$7.2M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Liar's Bar at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (4 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + Gambling, priced around $16. The breakout hits carry FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Liar's Bar 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut	$6.99	56k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerCasual
Car Mechanic Simulator 2021 2021	Est. copies ≈ 963k–1.6M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.6M–$17.8M after Steam's cut $12.0M–$27.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationAutomobile Sim
Pacify 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$4.99	43k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
Hardspace: Shipbreaker 2022	Est. copies ≈ 557k–905k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.2M before Steam's cut	$34.99	22k reviews Very Positive	SpaceSci-fi
SUPERHOT 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	41k reviews Very Positive	ActionFPS
Surgeon Simulator 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	17k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFunny
Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes 2015	Est. copies ≈ 838k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-opLocal Multiplayer
Secret Neighbor: Hello Neighbor Multiplayer 2019	Est. copies ≈ 559k–908k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	19k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerHorror