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How many copies did Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 838k–1.4M
$3.5M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.3M before Steam's cut
from 17k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.0M–21.5M
best case 29.9M (Among Us)
Games like Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes

A typical game among these

≈ 8.0M–21.5M copies

≈ $57.6M–$95.8M after Steam's cut

from ~249k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Among Us at ≈ 22.8M–37.0M copies, ≈ $31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (4 of 8) and 2D Fighter (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Social Deduction + Space, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Castle Crashers®
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.9M–14.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.7M–$98.7M after Steam's cut $66.8M–$151.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2DOnline Co-Op
Among Us
2018
Est. copies
≈ 22.8M–37.0M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut $56.8M–$129.3M before Steam's cut
$4.99
749k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerSocial Deduction
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.5M–15.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
It Takes Two
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
270k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Rocket League®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 28.3M–46.0M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
580k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
Brawlhalla
2017
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
413k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Stick Fight: The Game
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–7.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
125k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFunny
FIFA 22
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
120k reviews
Very Positive
Football (Soccer)Sports

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