How much revenue did Hardspace: Shipbreaker make?

$5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hardspace: Shipbreaker sell?

Q: How many copies did Hardspace: Shipbreaker sell?

557k to 905k copies, based on its 22k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 557k–905k; $5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.2M before Steam's cut; from 22k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hardspace: Shipbreaker and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Hardspace: Shipbreaker's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10.3M–16.9M

best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)

Games like Hardspace: Shipbreaker

A typical game among these

≈ 10.3M–16.9M copies

≈ $170.8M–$370.6M after Steam's cut

from ~249k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (2 of 3) and Sandbox (2 of 3).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	249k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
No Man's Sky 2016	Est. copies ≈ 17.5M–28.5M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	422k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Stellaris 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8.2M–13.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.6M before Steam's cut	$49.99	197k reviews Very Positive	SpaceGrand Strategy