How much revenue did SUPERHOT make?

$11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did SUPERHOT sell?

Q: How many copies did SUPERHOT sell?

1.7M to 2.8M copies, based on its 41k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.7M–2.8M; $11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.2M before Steam's cut; from 41k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SUPERHOT and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SUPERHOT's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 830k–1.6M

best case 5.7M (Killing Floor)

Games like SUPERHOT

A typical game among these

≈ 830k–1.6M copies

≈ $6.2M–$8.1M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Killing Floor at ≈ 4.4M–7.1M copies, ≈ $24.0M–$64.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Shooter (7 of 8) and FPS (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Western + FPS, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Call of Juarez: Gunslinger 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.6M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $11.6M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	44k reviews Very Positive	WesternFPS
Sniper Elite V2 unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 632k–1.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	26k reviews Very Positive	SniperAction
DUSK 2018	Est. copies ≈ 778k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFPS
F.E.A.R. 2010	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	20k reviews Very Positive	Horror FPS
Sniper: Ghost Warrior 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	19k reviews Mostly Positive	SniperAction
Max Payne 3 2012	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.6M 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.4M–$60.2M after Steam's cut $40.7M–$92.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	64k reviews Very Positive	ActionThird-Person Shooter
Killing Floor 2009	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.1M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.0M–$64.4M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	69k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSZombies
Trepang2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 489k–795k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.5M before Steam's cut	$34.99	20k reviews Very Positive	ShooterSingleplayer