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How many copies did F.E.A.R. sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before Steam's cut
from 20k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid F.E.A.R. and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including F.E.A.R.'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 30.6M–90.9M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like F.E.A.R.

A typical game among these

≈ 30.6M–90.9M copies

≈ $177.5M–$315.1M after Steam's cut

from ~1.0M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (5 of 8) and FPS (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.6M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.2M–39.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
496k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.