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How many copies did Pacify sell?

Too new to estimate
Games in its genre land ≈ 28.5M–69.3M That is what its genre does, not a prediction for this game.
No reviews yet, so there is nothing to estimate from. That is not the same as selling nothing.
Does this actually work?

We left Pacify out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pacify's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 28.5M–69.3M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Pacify

The middle of these games

≈ 28.5M–69.3M copies

≈ $210.9M–$338.6M after Steam's cut

from ~839k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival (5 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + Battle Royale + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 75.6M–122.8M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.5M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 66.8M–108.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$183.6M–$493.6M after Steam's cut $333.8M–$759.4M before the cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.4M–$307.5M after Steam's cut $207.9M–$473.1M before the cut
$19.99
839k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.2M–39.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$166.0M–$446.3M after Steam's cut $301.8M–$686.6M before the cut
$24.99
495k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.1M–$250.3M after Steam's cut $169.3M–$385.1M before the cut
$14.99
543k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 38.8M–63.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$213.5M–$574.0M after Steam's cut $388.2M–$883.1M before the cut
$19.99
934k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer

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