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How many copies did Fall Guys sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
from 468k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fall Guys and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fall Guys's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 63k–805k
best case 4.5M (Stumble Guys)
Games like Fall Guys

A typical game among these

≈ 63k–805k copies

≈ $124k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Stumble Guys at ≈ 3.4M–5.6M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 735 reviews in their first month; the range was 115 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (5 of 8) and Party Game (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Racing.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Stumble Guys
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
63x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
139k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
LASERS
2024
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$45k–$121k after Steam's cut $82k–$186k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Mixed
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Headbangers: Rhythm Royale
2023
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$165k–$444k after Steam's cut $300k–$682k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualRhythm
Hidden in Plain Sight
2014
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$90k–$241k after Steam's cut $163k–$370k before Steam's cut
$5.99
971 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Local Multiplayer4 Player Local
Deceive Inc.
2023
Est. copies
≈ 195k–318k
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Social DeductionHeist
Kukoro: Stream chat games
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$35k–$93k after Steam's cut $63k–$144k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Party GameCollectathon
West Hunt
2023
Est. copies
≈ 54k–87k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$147k–$396k after Steam's cut $268k–$610k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Social DeductionParty Game

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