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How many copies did Deceive Inc. sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 195k–318k
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deceive Inc. and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deceive Inc.'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 19k–113k
best case 8.8M (Battlefield™ V)
Games like Deceive Inc.

A typical game among these

≈ 19k–113k copies

≈ $101k–$272k after Steam's cut

from ~971 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Battlefield™ V at ≈ 6.7M–10.9M copies, ≈ $92.2M–$247.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 277 reviews in their first month; the range was 47 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Social Deduction (5 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + World War II, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry FPS + Singleplayer + World War II; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2.2x vs typical
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Social DeductionParty Game
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≈ 269k–437k
11x vs typical
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MultiplayerHorror
Battlefield™ V
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
278x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$92.2M–$247.8M after Steam's cut $167.6M–$381.2M before Steam's cut
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FPSMultiplayer
Perfect Heist 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 118k–192k
4.9x vs typical
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$325k–$874k after Steam's cut $591k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
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ActionStealth
Hidden in Plain Sight
2014
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$90k–$241k after Steam's cut $163k–$370k before Steam's cut
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Local Multiplayer4 Player Local
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2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
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GangV | VR & PC Battle Royale
2021
Est. copies
≈ 13k–22k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$55k–$147k after Steam's cut $99k–$226k before Steam's cut
$14.99
535 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessBattle Royale

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