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How many copies did Prisoners sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–26k
from 636 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Prisoners and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Prisoners's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 266k–13.5M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Prisoners

A typical game among these

≈ 266k–13.5M copies

≈ $14.4M–$43.2M after Steam's cut

from ~119k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 89 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 8k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (8 of 8) and Battle Royale (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Z1 Battle Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
202k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalMassively Multiplayer
Killer in the cabin
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$6.99
131 reviews
Mostly Positive
Social DeductionConversation
Ring of Elysium
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
99k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Among Us
2018
Est. copies
≈ 22.8M–37.0M
6.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut $56.8M–$129.3M before Steam's cut
$4.99
749k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerSocial Deduction
Fear Surrounds
2021
Est. copies
≈ 269k–437k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerHorror
Stumble Guys
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
139k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
ZaBaTa!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
42 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIndie

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