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How many copies did Perfect Heist 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 118k–192k
$325k–$874k after Steam's cut $591k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Perfect Heist 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Perfect Heist 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 111k–2.5M
best case 56.0M (PAYDAY 2)
Games like Perfect Heist 2

A typical game among these

≈ 111k–2.5M copies

≈ $425k–$19.0M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 35 to 39k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (6 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
675k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
PAYDAY 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.6M–$55.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
66k reviews
Mixed
HeistCo-op
HITMAN™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
Sniper Ghost Warrior 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 677k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Mixed
SniperOpen World
PAYDAY™ The Heist
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
RAID: World War II
2017
Est. copies
≈ 97k–157k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$266k–$715k after Steam's cut $484k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Mixed
World War IIAction
Panther VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
$9.99
124 reviews
Mixed
VRStealth
Sneak Thief
2022
Est. copies
≈ 47k–77k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$195k–$523k after Steam's cut $354k–$805k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
StealthAction

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