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How many copies did Panther VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
from 124 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Panther VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Panther VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 36k–4.5M
best case 56.0M (PAYDAY 2)
Games like Panther VR

A typical game among these

≈ 36k–4.5M copies

≈ $188k–$48.0M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 479 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Stealth (6 of 8) and Heist (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Very Positive
StealthOpen World
One-armed robber
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
54k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
675k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
Dishonored 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.0M–$61.8M after Steam's cut $41.8M–$95.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
StealthFirst-Person
The Break-In
2025
Est. copies
≈ 65k–106k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$357k–$961k after Steam's cut $650k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
VRMultiplayer
Thief Simulator VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 37k–59k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$201k–$540k after Steam's cut $365k–$830k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mixed
Do U Copy?
2024
Est. copies
≈ 967–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$12.99
39 reviews
Mixed
CasualAsymmetric VR
Security Control
2024
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$731 after Steam's cut $494–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
Early AccessParty

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