How much revenue did Thief Simulator VR make?

$201k–$540k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Thief Simulator VR sell?

Q: How many copies did Thief Simulator VR sell?

37k to 59k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 37k–59k; $201k–$540k after Steam's cut $365k–$830k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Thief Simulator VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thief Simulator VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15.9M–29.4M

best case 105.1M (Garry's Mod)

Games like Thief Simulator VR

A typical game among these

≈ 15.9M–29.4M copies

≈ $294.6M–$374.6M after Steam's cut

from ~470k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Garry's Mod at ≈ 80.0M–130.1M copies, ≈ $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Post-apocalyptic (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Simulation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.7M–80.7M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	786k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	675k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction
Stardew Valley 2016	Est. copies ≈ 43.5M–70.7M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Farming SimPixel Graphics
DayZ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 14.3M–23.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut	$49.99	470k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 80.0M–130.1M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
Euro Truck Simulator 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 59.7M–97.0M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	944k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DrivingTransportation
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
Project Zomboid 2013	Est. copies ≈ 30.5M–49.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	483k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies