How much revenue did Sneak Thief make?

$195k–$523k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Sneak Thief sell?

Q: How many copies did Sneak Thief sell?

47k to 77k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 47k–77k; $195k–$523k after Steam's cut $354k–$805k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sneak Thief and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sneak Thief's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–3.5M

best case 56.0M (PAYDAY 2)

Games like Sneak Thief

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–3.5M copies

≈ $9.7M–$29.3M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 47 to 39k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Stealth (7 of 8) and Heist (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dishonored 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.0M–$61.8M after Steam's cut $41.8M–$95.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	67k reviews Very Positive	StealthFirst-Person
Perfect Heist 2 2021	Est. copies ≈ 118k–192k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $325k–$874k after Steam's cut $591k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	5k reviews Very Positive	ActionStealth
PAYDAY 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.7M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.6M–$55.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	66k reviews Mixed	HeistCo-op
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 17x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	675k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction
Thief Simulator 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	40k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Stealth
Thief Simulator 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 170k–276k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $934k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Stealth
PAYDAY™ The Heist 2011	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	41k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
Thief 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.5M–$30.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	24k reviews Mostly Positive	StealthAction