How much revenue did Thief Simulator 2 make?

$934k–$2.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Thief Simulator 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Thief Simulator 2 sell?

170k to 276k copies, based on its 7k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 170k–276k; $934k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut; from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Thief Simulator 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thief Simulator 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–5.1M

best case 56.0M (PAYDAY 2)

Games like Thief Simulator 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–5.1M copies

≈ $4.6M–$29.8M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Crime (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 153k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Crime (4 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Schedule I 2025	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M 8.5x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	318k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Simulation Co-op
Due Process 2020	Est. copies ≈ 212k–345k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $583k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessAdventure
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 18x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	675k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction
Crime Scene Cleaner 2024	Est. copies ≈ 858k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.1M–$19.0M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationCrime
NEKOPARA Vol. 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 535k–870k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeSexual Content
Thief Simulator 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	40k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Stealth
PAYDAY™ The Heist 2011	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	41k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
Hitman: Blood Money 2007	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.5M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	16k reviews Very Positive	StealthAction