How much revenue did Schedule I make?

$43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Schedule I sell?

Q: How many copies did Schedule I sell?

7.9M to 12.8M copies, based on its 318k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7.9M–12.8M; $43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut; from 318k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Schedule I and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Schedule I's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 719k–2.0M

best case 56.0M (PAYDAY 2)

Games like Schedule I

A typical game among these

≈ 719k–2.0M copies

≈ $6.6M–$11.6M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 12k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Crime (5 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Looter Shooter + Co-op + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Drug Dealer Simulator 2020	Est. copies ≈ 522k–848k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	21k reviews Very Positive	SimulationCrime
NBA 2K21 2020	Est. copies ≈ 962k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	39k reviews Mixed	BasketballSports
Police Simulator: Patrol Officers 2022	Est. copies ≈ 574k–933k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	23k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationCrime
UNO 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Card GameMultiplayer
PAYDAY™ The Heist 2011	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	41k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator 2023	Est. copies ≈ 464k–755k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	19k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureDriving
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 17x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	675k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction
Thief Simulator 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	40k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Stealth