How much revenue did Sniper Ghost Warrior 3 make?

$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Sniper Ghost Warrior 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did Sniper Ghost Warrior 3 sell?

677k to 1.1M copies, based on its 20k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 677k–1.1M; $3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before Steam's cut; from 20k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sniper Ghost Warrior 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sniper Ghost Warrior 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 477k–1.7M

best case 2.9M (Sniper Elite 4)

Games like Sniper Ghost Warrior 3

A typical game among these

≈ 477k–1.7M copies

≈ $6.0M–$21.8M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sniper Elite 4 at ≈ 2.2M–3.5M copies, ≈ $35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (6 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sniper + Shooter, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Zombie Army Trilogy 2015	Est. copies ≈ 918k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.4M–$30.5M after Steam's cut $20.7M–$47.0M before Steam's cut	$44.99	19k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesAction
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2019	Est. copies ≈ 384k–624k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	13k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionSniper
Sniper Elite 4 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.4M–$148.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	63k reviews Very Positive	SniperAction
Sniper Elite 5 2022	Est. copies ≈ 765k–1.2M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut	$49.99	31k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerSniper
Sniper Elite: Nazi Zombie Army 2013	Est. copies ≈ 298k–484k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesAction
Sniper: Ghost Warrior 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	19k reviews Mostly Positive	SniperAction
Sniper Elite 3 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.2M–$35.4M after Steam's cut $23.9M–$54.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	28k reviews Very Positive	SniperAction
Zombie Army 4: Dead War 2021	Est. copies ≈ 302k–491k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.2M before Steam's cut	$49.99	12k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesAction